Monitoring & Early Warning
A drought monitoring and early warning system (DEWS) is the foundation of effective proactive drought policies. Governments maintain DEWS to warn their citizens and themselves about impending drought conditions. A DEWS identifies climate and water supply trends and detects the emergence or probability of occurrence and the likely severity of drought and its impacts. Reliable information must be communicated in a timely manner to water and land managers, policy makers and the public through appropriate communication channels. That information, if used effectively, can be the basis for reducing vulnerability and improving mitigation and response capacities of people and systems at risk.
Effective drought monitoring and early warning must integrate precipitation and other climatic parameters with water information such as stream flow, snow pack, ground water levels, reservoir and lake levels and soil moisture into a comprehensive assessment of current and future drought and water supply conditions. In addition, monitoring the impacts (i.e., social indicators) that are occurring on the ground as a drought develops helps calibrate assessments of severity for local areas. This assessment can then trigger appropriate mitigation and response actions that have been identified previously (see pillar 3 on Mitigation, Preparedness and Response).
From: WMO/GWP (2018) and WMO/GWP (2016) Handbook of Drought Indicators and Indices
Examples
Coverage | Drought product | Drought indicator/index |
---|---|---|
Global | Flood and Drought Portal | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Effective Drought Index (EDI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), Soil water index (SWI), Vegetation health index (VHI), Agricultural Stress Index (ASI), Combined Drought Index (CDI) |
Global | Global Drought Information System | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Vegetation Health Index (VHI) |
Global | FAO’s Agricultural Stress Index System (ASIS) | Agricultural Stress Index (ASI) |
Global | Ongoing droughts monitored by Relief Web | Impact reports |
Global | Famine Early Warning System Network, i.e. not strictly a drought product | Evidence-based analysis on food security |
Global | ClimatView – a tool for viewing monthly climate data | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Global | UNESCO/PCA Web Based Drought Monitoring Platform | Current Precipiation and Temperature data, Soil Moisture based drought index |
Global | IRI Global Drought Analysis Tool | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Global | IRI Global Drought Prediction Tool | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Global | APEC Global Drought and Climate Monitoring | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Rainfall surplus |
Global | Semi-arid drought monitor | Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), |
Africa | Africa Flood and Drought Monitor | Soil Moisture Index (SMI), Precipitation, Evapotranspiration, Transpiration, Runoff, Maximum temperature (Tmax), Minimum temperature (Tmin), Wind, Relative Humidity (Rhum) |
Latin America | Latin America Flood and Drought Monitor | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Drought Index, Streamflow Percentile |
Latin America | CIIFEN Drought Monitor | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Central America (IMTA) | Meso American Drought Monitor | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Soil Moisture Index (SSI), Standardized Runoff Index (SRI) Multivariate Standardized Drought Index (Precipitation, Soil Moisture, Runoff) |
North America | North American Drought Monitor | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Percent of Average Precipitation, Palmer Drought Index |
South Asia | South Asia Drought Monitoring System (SADMS) | Integrated Drought Severity Index (IDSI), Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Soil Moisture Index, Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), Temperature Condition Index (TCI), Precipitation Condition Index (PCI) |
The Caribbean | Caribbean Drought Bulletin | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Europe | European Drought Observatory | Combined Drought Indicator (CDI), Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Soil Moisture Anomaly (SMA), Vegetation Productivity Anomaly (fAPAR Anomaly) |
Europe | Alpine Drought Observatory | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), Standardized Snowpack Index (SSPI), Soil Moisture Anomalies (SMA), Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), Vegetation Health Index (VHI) |
Central Europe (Czech Republic and Slovakia) | Intersucho Droughtmonitor for Central Europe, Czech Republic and Slovakia | Soil Water Index Vegetation condition Agro-meteorological conditions Yield prediction Water stress |
Southeastern Europe | Drought Watch | Soil Water Index (SWI), Surface Water Balance (SWB), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) |
Argentina | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Australia | Drought report | Rainfall deficiencies, Soil moisture |
Bangladesh | Drought monitoring | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Temperature Deviation |
Belize | Drought Forecast | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Bolivia | Monthly agrometeorological bulletin | Vegetation Health Index (VHI), Agricultural Stress Index (ASI) |
Brazil | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Brazil | Agroclimatiological Bulletin Maps | Water Balance |
Northeastern Brazil | Northeast Brazil Drought Monitor | |
Canada | Canadian Drought Monitor | Precipitation and temperature indicators, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Streamflow values, Palmer Drought Index (PDI) , Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Drought indicators used by the agriculture, forestry, and water management sectors, Climate data |
Chile | Drought Monitor | Observed Precipitation DGA, Observed Precipitation RAN, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Observed Temperature RAN |
China | Drought Observations | |
Colombia | Monthly drought index | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Croatia | Drought monitoring | Cumulative precipitation amount, Difference between measured and average precipitation, Ratio between measured and average precipitation, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Percentile for measured precipitation, Return period for measured precipitation |
Cuba | Agricultural drought | |
Czech Republic | Hydrometerological, climate and soil drought | Model soil moisture, Streamflows |
Ecuador | Agrometeorological information | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Precipitation, Temperature, Soil moisture |
Germany | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI); Climatological maps of Germany | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Aridity Index, Water Balance |
Hungary | Agrometeorology | Soil moisture, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) |
India | Drought Monitoring | Aridity Anomaly Index (AAI), Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Indonesia | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Ireland | Agricultural Reports | Soil Moisture Deficits, Air temperature, Soil temperature, Rainfall, Sunshine, Wind |
Italy | Drought bulletin | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Jamaica | Drought Forecast Map; Farmers Bulletin | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Mexico | Drought Monitoring in Mexico | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Percent of Normal Precipitation, Vegetation Health Index (VHI), Soil Moisture Leaky Bucket CPC-NOAA Model, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Average Temperature Anomaly, Water Availability Percentage |
Mongolia | MODIS product-Drought | |
Montenegro | Drought Monitoring-SPI | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Myanmar | Agro-Met Bulletin | Precipitation, Temperature, Humidity, Evapotranspiration, Soil Moisture |
New Zealand | New Zealand Drought Monitor; Daily climate maps | Soil Moisture Deficit, Soil Moisture Anomaly, Rain, Sun, Temperature, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Nicaragua | Agrometeorological Bulletin | Agricultural Stress Index (ASI), Soil moisture |
Nigeria | Drought and Flood Monitoring Bulletin | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Pakistan | Drought Watch Bulletin | Percentage Departure of Rainfall, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Land Surface Temperature (LST), Temperature Vegetation Dryness Index (TVDI) |
Panama | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Papua New Guinea | Drought Monitoring | Consecutive Dry Days (CDD), Dry spell (DS), Wet spell (WS) |
Paraguay | Agrometeorological Bulletin | Water balance, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Peru | Drought Monitor | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Reservoirs levels, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Water balance, Combined Drought Indicator (CDI) |
Poland | Agricultural Drought Monitoring System (ADMS) | Climatic water balance |
Portugal | Drought Monitoring – SPI Index | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Serbia | Moisture conditions and drought monitoring | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Slovakia | Drought Monitoring | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), Crop Moisture Index (CMI) |
Slovenia | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
South Africa | South Africa Flood and Drought Monitor | Soil Moisture Index (SMI), Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Precipitation, Evapotranspiration, Runoff |
South Africa | National Integrated Water Information System – Drought status and management | Dam levels, Rainfall, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Spain | Meteorological Drought Monitoring | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Switzerland | Drought indices | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), Water balance, Soil moisture, Soil water deficit, Vegetation water deficit, Agricultural Reference Index for Drought (ARID) |
Turkey | Meteorological Drought Situation according to Standardized Precipitation Index Method | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
UK | UK Drought Portal | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
Uruguay | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |
USA | United States Drought Monitor | Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), CPC Soil Moisture Model (Percentiles), USGS Weekly Streamflow (Percentiles), Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Objective Drought Indicator Blends (Percentiles) |
Venezuela | Drought Monitoring | Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) |